ORIGINAL ARTICLE
Kajsa Björnera, Miklos Gulyasb, Per M. Hellströma and Dominic-Luc Webba,c
aDepartment of Medical Sciences, Gastroenterology and Hepatology Section, Uppsala University, Uppsala, Sweden; bDepartment of Immunology, Genetics and Pathology, Uppsala University, Uppsala, Sweden; cDLW Bioanalytics, Märsta, Sweden
High stroma content, as measured by tumor-stroma ratio (TSR), is generally a negative prognostic parameter for epithelial cancers, including sporadic colorectal cancer (sCRC). Inflammatory bowel disease patients have higher risk for colorectal cancer than the background population. Evidence suggests that this colitis-associated colorectal cancer (CAC) is more aggressive and occurs at younger age than sCRC. CAC also differs from sCRC in oncogenesis and prognosis. This study tests the hypothesis that TSR in CAC tumors correlates with survival. Age at CAC diagnosis relative to TSR was also explored. TSR was quantified in 36 CAC cases. In routine hematoxylin–eosin staining, the amount of stroma was estimated in categorical steps of 10% increments per image field. The area with highest amount of stroma and tumor tissue at all quadrants of the visual field boundary was scored for TSR. For statistical analysis, tumors were divided into stroma-high (> 50%) or stroma-low (≤ 50%). Of all cases, 22 were stroma-high and 14 were stroma-low. Five-year survival in the stroma-high group was 32% (n = 22), compared to 71% (n = 14) in the stroma-low group (p = 0.049). High stroma content was more frequent if cancer diagnosis was before 60 years of age (17/23) compared to after 60 years of age (5/13). Despite differences in oncogenesis and tumor biology in CAC compared to sCRC, high stroma content also predicts worse outcome in CAC and is particularly common in younger patients.
KEYWORDS: Tumor microenvironment; oncogenesis; colorectal cancer; colitis-associated colorectal cancer; inflammatory bowel disease; tumor biology
Citation: UPSALA JOURNAL OF MEDICAL SCIENCES 2025, 130, e13250; http://dx.doi.org/10.48101/ujms.v130.13250
Copyright: © 2025 The Author(s). Published by Upsala Medical Society.
This is an Open Access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
Received: 9 September 2025; Revised: 29 October 2025; Accepted: 29 October 2025; Published: 2 January 2026
Competing interests and funding: KB gratefully acknowledges funding from riktade FoU-medel Region Uppsala (2018). DLW, KB, and PMH gratefully acknowledge funding from Erik, Karin & Gösta Selanders Foundation (2018, 2020 & 2021). The authors declare no conflict of interests.
CONTACT Dominic-Luc Webb info@dlwbioanalytics.eu
Supplemental data for this article can be accessed here.
Inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) has increased in Sweden over the last century. IBD is subdivided into ulcerative colitis (UC), Crohn’s disease (CD), and unclassified inflammatory bowel disease (IBD-U). IBD is associated with increased risk of colorectal cancer (CRC) (1–4), making this patient group of particular concern. Elevated risk of colitis-associated colorectal cancer (CAC) has been associated with young age at diagnosis, long duration of IBD, extensive disease, active inflammation, and primary sclerosing cholangitis (5–8).
Stroma is the supportive tissue of an epithelial organ or tumor, consisting of connective tissue and vessels surrounding epithelial structures. Tumor cells and tissue stroma evolve together. In oncogenesis, when epithelial cells develop into malignant cancerous tissue, a crosstalk between epithelial cells and surrounding stroma develops (9). This is seen in extracellular matrix, macrophages, and fibroblasts. Fibroblasts progress to cancer-associated fibroblasts (CAF) after activation from cancer cells (10). One difference in the tumor microenvironment of CRC compared to other tumors is the microbiome that affects epithelial surface and stroma (11). Tumor–stroma, mainly through CAFs, stimulate cancer cell proliferation, remodeling of extracellular matrix, and angiogenesis (10). Tumor–stroma regulates cancer cells and can be involved in tumorigenesis by inducing stem cell-like properties or epithelial to mesenchymal transition (12).
Cancer treatment has historically been based on clinicopathological characteristics, such as, patient age and performance status, tumor type, differentiation, tissue infiltration, and presence of metastasis (13). The tumor-node-metastasis (TNM) classification is used in clinical practice to choose the most suitable treatment for the individual patient (14) and is supplemented with gene analysis and microsatellite instability status (15, 16). Still, in node-negative colon cancer, a group with generally good prognosis, some develop disease recurrence; determining both tumor–stroma ratio (TSR) and BRAF (B-Raf proto-oncogene, serine/threonine kinase) mutations might help in prognostication (17). Certain pathological features of the tumor can be just as important as biomarkers of disease progression. Tumor budding and the tumor stroma are features that can be exploited to histologically evaluate risk of metastasis (18). TSR has been reported to be a strong prognostic indicator in sporadic colorectal cancer (sCRC) (19–22) and has recently been validated in a prospective multicenter study (23). TSR has a good interobserver validation and reproducibility (24). Carcinogenesis differs in CAC compared to sCRC in that CAC involves the inflammation–dysplasia–carcinoma pathway, rather than the canonical adenoma–carcinoma pathway, to manifest cancer development (6, 25, 26) and worsened survival (4).
Four Consensus Molecular Subtypes (CMS) have been established by the International Colorectal Cancer Subtyping Consortium (27). The four CMS are CMS1 (microsatellite-instability, immune), CMS2 (epithelial, canonical), CMS3 (metabolic), and CMS4 (mesenchymal). CMS4 is known to have worse prognosis (27) and has been indicated to be more common in CAC (28).
CAC has a different age profile than sCRC, with higher cancer risk in younger IBD patients (29–31). There has been mixed evidence as to whether CAC is more aggressive than CRC (32). Some of the largest studies exploring this fact found survival to be lower in CAC than CRC regardless of UC or CD background (33). Recent Swedish data indicate that IBD negatively influences prognosis of colon cancer, but not rectal cancer, after the first year of disease (34, 35). The difference in survival between CAC and sCRC is likely driven by patients < 65 years of age (36). We hypothesized that stroma-high tumors might be more common in IBD patients diagnosed with cancer earlier in life as a result of a colitis-driven oncogenesis that may be regarded as true CAC not present in the main population. IBD patients presumably retain similar risk of contracting sCRC through the adenoma–carcinoma pathway that increases throughout life. The primary aim of our present study was therefore to determine TSR in CAC patients and relate this to survival. TSR differences at different ages of CAC diagnosis were also explored. A secondary aim was to evaluate if TSR differs with age of onset of CAC.
This study consisted of patients with IBD and CRC diagnosis between 1970 and 2020 identified from inpatient and outpatient registries in Uppsala region, Sweden. Inclusion criteria for CAC patients were: confirmed diagnosis of IBD; concomitant colorectal adenocarcinoma and with available blocks of cancer tissue. Exclusion criteria were; registry diagnosis of IBD or CRC that could not be confirmed in medical records. Out of totally 56 cases with a CAC primary tumor, 47 were surgical specimens and 9 were biopsies. The nine biopsy specimens were excluded due to insufficient material. Of the 47 surgical specimens, 36 could be evaluated for TSR; 11 were excluded due to prior chemo- or radiotherapy. Slides were chosen from the most invasive part of the tumor as indicated in the pathology report, if this was not clear from reports several slides were assessed and the one with highest percentage stroma was chosen.
To explore differences in TSR with age of cancer diagnosis, data were sorted with age cut-offs 50 and 60 years of age, which are reported age windows when incidence of sCRC rapidly increases (37, 38).
Microscopic evaluation was done according to the procedure of van Pelt et al. (39). After routine staining with hematoxylin–eosin solution, tissue sections of 4 µm thickness were analyzed by brightfield microscopy. Areas with high amount of stroma were selected with 5× magnification. The area with highest presence of stroma, but with tumor tissue at all quadrants within the visual field boundary, was selected and scored at 10× magnification. Amount of stroma was scored within nearest 10% increment (e.g. 10, 20, 30%, etc.) in the image field with the highest amount of stroma. Large vessel and necrotic areas were avoided, but if not possible, they did not contribute to the stroma estimate. One slide per patient was examined (i.e. one region of interest per patient); initially by KB and finally by MG, thus reaching consensus. Patient information was blinded at scoring.
For statistics, cases were sorted into stroma-high with > 50% stromal area and stroma-low with ≤ 50% stromal area in alignment with sCRC recommendations (39). Non-parametric tests were used for all statistical calculations with data presented as median and range. Survival rates were assessed using Kaplan–Meier plots with log-rank test with censoring at 60 month (i.e. 5 years). Decline in stroma-high versus stroma-low survival p-value with sample size was simulated with R programming language (40–42) by 10× expansion of original data (from n = 36 to n = 360) followed by random sub-sampling from n = 6 to n = 36 (details and source code in Supplement 1). Groups were compared with Mann–Whitney U-test. Statistical analyses were conducted using Statistica software, version 13 (TIBCO Software Inc., Palo Alto, CA, USA).
Examples of high and low stroma content are depicted in Figure 1. In A and B there is mainly stroma interspersed with islets of tumor cells. C and D are tumor-rich and there is only sparse amount of stroma.
Figure 1. Examples of high and low stroma content in CAC. A and B exemplify high stroma. C and D exemplify low stroma. CAC: colitis-associated colorectal cancer.
Clinical characteristics of the examined patient group are presented in Table 1. The most common diagnosis was UC (n = 24). CD was about half of this (n = 11). The remaining case was IBD-U. There were more males (n = 23) than females (n = 13). Even though male cases had numerically more stroma-high ratios, no statistical difference was seen (p = 0.26). Regarding extension and location of IBD, the majority (24 out of 36 cases) had extensive colitis, followed by ileo-cecal location (5 out of 36). Numerically, the main location of cancer was the right colon (18), followed by the rectum (7). There were more patients at stage 4 in those excluded due to insufficient material.
| Parameter | All | Stroma high | Stroma low | |
| N | 36 | 22 | 14 | |
| Sex | p§ | |||
| Female | 13 (36%) | 6 | 7 | 0.26 |
| Male | 23 (64%) | 16 | 7 | |
| Diagnosis | ||||
| CD | 11 | 7 | 4 | |
| UC | 24 | 14 | 10 | |
| IBD-U | 1 | 1 | − | |
| Age at diagnosis | p* | |||
| IBD Median (Range) | 25.5 (3–86) | 23.5 (11–66) | 30.5 (3–86) | 0.51 |
| Cancer Median (Range) | 51 (17–95) | 44 (21–82) | 67 (17–95) | 0.09 |
| Stage at cancer diagnosis | ||||
| Stage 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | |
| Stage 2 | 14 | 8 | 6 | |
| Stage 3 | 14 | 9 | 5 | |
| Stage 4 | 1 | 1 | − | |
| Extension of IBD | ||||
| Proctitis | 3 | 1 | 2 | |
| Left-sided | 3 | 2 | 1 | |
| Extensive | 24 | 13 | 11 | |
| ileocecal | 5 | 5 | − | |
| Unknown extent | 1 | 1 | − | |
| Localization of cancer | ||||
| Rectum | 7 | 6 | 1 | |
| Left colon | 6 | 4 | 2 | |
| Right colon | 18 | 10 | 8 | |
| Multiple locations | 3 | 1 | 2 | |
| Anastomosis | 2 | 1 | 1 | |
| § Presence of stroma high related to sex. * Stroma-high vs stroma-low. UC: ulcerative colitis; CD: Crohn’s disease; IBD-U: unclassified inflammatory bowel disease. |
||||
CRC survival of the stroma-high group was lower than for the stroma-low group by log-rank test (p = 0.049), Figure 2A. The 5-year CRC survival in the stroma-high group was 32% (7 of 22), compared to 71% (10 in 14) in the stroma-low group. A plot of decline in p-value with sample size using randomized sub-sampling from n = 6 to n = 36 revealed that p-value deflected to a flat line before n = 36 (piecewise two-segment breakpoint was n = 24, p = 0.002) (Figure 2B).
Figure 2. (A) Survival curve for CAC comparing stroma-high to stroma-low groups, log-rank test p = 0.049. (B) Simulated decline in p-value as a function of sample size revealing p-value reaches an essentially flat line by n = 36 (data are median and SEM (standard error of the mean) of seven p-values). CAC: colitis-associated colorectal cancer.
Median survival times could not be compared since more than half of the stroma-low group were still alive. Median follow-up time independent of survival status was 29 months (12 events, 55%) for the stroma-high (range 5–372 months) versus 44 months (5 events, 36%) (range 2–240 months) for the stroma-low group (p = 0.55).
The median age for CAC diagnosis was 51 (range 17–95) years (Table 1). The stroma-high group was on average younger, 44 (21–82) years at cancer diagnosis than the stroma-low group, 67 (17–95) years (p = 0.09). There was no age difference at initial IBD diagnosis between the stroma-high and stroma-low groups (p = 0.51). Stratifying data by age using a cut-off of 50 years of age at CAC diagnosis, stroma-high tumors were numerically more frequent in those with CAC diagnosed before 50 years of age (12 of 16; 75%) compared to those diagnosed after age 50 (10 of 20; 50%) but not with statistical significance, p = 0.13. With a cut-off of 60 years of age at CAC diagnosis, stroma-high tumors were more frequent in patients diagnosed before age 60 years (17 of 23; 74%) compared to those diagnosed after age 60 (5 of 13; 38%) (p = 0.041, Figure 3).
Figure 3. Stroma-high tumors occur more frequently in patients with cancer diagnosis < 60 years of age (Mann–Whitney, p = 0.041).
As previously shown with sCRC, TSR appears to be a possible prognostic tool for CAC. A significant difference between stroma-high and stroma-low CACs was detected. The sample size of 36 combined with a threshold p-value indicates a low magnitude of effect at 5 years. The simulation in Figure 2B suggests that an increase in sample size, even a large increase, might have negligible effect on p-value. The p-value can be predicted to decline over time as a result of most stroma-low patients continuing to add follow-up months. However, after 5 years, factors such as deaths from other causes set additional constraints and introduce more non-informative censoring.
The TNM classification is the anatomical foundation for treatment decisions in all CRC. In recent years, prognostication has been sharpened with gene analysis and microsatellite instability evaluation, but further improvement is needed. With sharper prognostication tools, treatments can be better tailored to individual patients, as in decisions for adjuvant therapy.
The stroma-rich CMS4 has the highest mortality of the different CMS (27). That stroma-rich tumors have worse prognosis is often explained by Paget’s ‘Seed and Soil’ hypothesis. Stromal cells are considered to create a more favorable environment for the epithelial cancer cells at its origin as well as in metastases (43).
TSR assessment may be even more important for patients with CAC, Rajamäki et al. showed that CMS2 was under-represented in CAC, whereas CMS4 was more abundant (28). Proteomic analysis has revealed that CMS4 shows the most unique profile, revealing overexpression of proteins related to angiogenesis, extracellular matrix, and focal adhesion (44). This might explain why CAC has worse survival than sCRC. In most papers describing TSR in sCRC, there is a preponderance for the stroma-low group (21, 23, 45, 46). In our study, the stroma-high group comprised 61% of all cases, which aligns with the notion that stroma-rich tumors may be more common in CAC.
CAC diagnosed in patients over the age of 60 can be hypothesized to express features similar to sCRC. Younger IBD patients show a higher relative risk of CAC (29). Elderly IBD patients do not have a higher risk of CRC than their age-matched peers (4, 30). IBD onset at old age has been reported to not increase the risk of CAC (31, 47). This is in agreement with our present findings that patients below 60 years of age at cancer diagnosis have a higher occurrence of stroma-high tumors than those with diagnosed with CAC over 60 years of age. Exactly at what age the adenoma–carcinoma–pathway becomes more common than the inflammatory pathway is open to speculation.
Activation of CAFs has been attributed to several cytokines, among which are IL-1β (48) and iNOS (49). In our previous work, we showed high immunoreactivity of IL-1β as well as iNOS in the epithelial cells of CAC (50). In the stroma, IL-1β immunoreactivity was higher in CAC than in normal colon mucosa, whereas iNOS immunoreactivity was lower in CAC than in normal colon mucosa. This is in line with previous data of IL-1β being a biomarker of sCRC invasiveness (51, 52). Furthermore, increased NO-generation in a cell may select mutant p53-cells and contribute to tumor angiogenesis (44).
The strength of our primary observation lies in the fact that it highlights the importance of tumor stroma in CAC comparable to previous findings in sCRC. This study was also limited in follow-up time and possibly sample size. Statistical analyses of subgroups were not deemed meaningful. As with other studies, due to scarcity of CAC patients, subgroup analysis was under-powered. Since occurrence of CAC is a relatively rare complication of IBD, there is only a limited number of subjects spanning over a 40-year period to be evaluated for this research question. With improved surveillance and IBD treatments entering the market, occurrence and survival of CAC could change in the future. Our study reveals a signal that can readily be investigated in larger populations. Further subclassification of CAC should be possible for more accurate prognosis based on onset of malignant disease and also histological features of the cancer tissue. As with other prognostic factors, the present finding of high TSR as a negative prognostic factor must be validated in larger prospective studies.
Stroma-rich tumors suggest worse prognoses. Those diagnosed with cancer at a younger age may be more likely to have high stroma content.
The authors thank Dr Svetlana Popova (Research and Development Service, Department of Clinical Pathology, Uppsala University Hospital) for cutting sections and performing staining through the automated routine pathology unit facilities.
Kajsa Björner, MD, Specialist Gastroenterologist, PhD student at the Department of Medical Sciences, Gastroenterology/Hepatology Unit, Uppsala University, Sweden.
Miklos Gulyas, MD, PhD, Associate Professor, Pathologist, Department of Immunology, Genetics and Pathology, Uppsala University, Uppsala, Sweden.
Per M. Hellström, MD, PhD, Professor of Gastroenterology, Gastroenterology and Hepatology Unit, Department of Medical Sciences, Uppsala University, Uppsala, Sweden.
Dominic-Luc Webb, AA, AS, BS, PhD, Associate Professor of Experimental Gastroenterology, Researcher and Supervisor at Gastroenterology and Hepatology Unit, Department of Medical Sciences, Uppsala University, Uppsala, Sweden. Senior consultant at DLW Bioanalytics, an academic research organization.
Kajsa Björner , https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0092-7581
Miklos Gulyas , https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4988-6933
Per M. Hellström , https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8428-0772
Dominic-Luc Webb , https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6979-9194
The study protocol was approved by the Central Ethics Review Board (Dnr Ö 21-2012), Stockholm. All living subjects gave their written consent.
Images and data that are used in the results and conclusions in this study can be provided upon reasonable request.
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